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I did a more accurate calculation and I see now we have a 18% change of solving.
Here is the formula based on the wiki birthday page: 100*(1-exp(-((0xAD87E3B2BA1AE)**2)/(2*(2**112/(2*113))))) Put this into google and it should print out ~18.36 0xAD87E3B2BA1AE is the current iteration of today When we hit 2^52 iterations we have a ~35.69% chance of solving. 100*(1-exp(-((2**52)**2)/(2*(2**112/(2*113))))) 2^53 would give ~83% so I don't think we need to go this far Need more CPU's Last edited by contextrax; 10-31-2017 at 00:06. |
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